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Friday
Posted: Thu, May 9th, 2024, 10:37 PM • Permalink
Happy Vols Vandy Friday:






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We're Postgaming This Weekend ... Let's Get It On! It's time to play some ball in the mid state. Tennessee and Vanderbilt. Fireworks guaranteed. We'll be on with Garza Law Extra Innings Saturday and maybe Sunday ... Let's roll ...

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Orange Throat Files A Full Report:
Orange Throat
'T Club Team:


Random musings as The Fighting Voltellos have an opportunity to extend their recent dominance over the once mighty Vandy Boys:


THE PRESSURE IS ON VANDY ... As the Commodores are struggling to get off the NCAA tournament bubble after dropping three at Georgia. The latest D1Baseball bracketology this week had the Commodores as a three-seed and 43rd overall while the Volunteers are a strong 1-seed and third overall as the series starts tonight. Of course, a Commodore sweep changes things big time for the home team and some for the visitors.


SLOWLY BUT SURELY ... Frank Anderson's pitching staff has crept up to 3rd in the league in ERA at 4.70. Vandy under Tim Corbin has been a pitching powerhouse but his 22nd Commodore team is 8th in the conference at 6.01. He does have some capable starters in righty Bryce Cunningham who will go tonight and LHP Carter Holton, who will duel with Drew Beam tomorrow afternoon. Corbin's bullpen is leaky, which is highly unusual.


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OFFENSIVELY, VANDY HASN'T BEEN REAL GOOD ... Tennessee has swatted 61 homers to Vandy's 25 and the Volunteers hit for average 47 better points and have scored 71 more runs in league play. The big asterisk is Vandy has been much better in the friendly confines of Hawkins Field. The 11-13 Dores are 9-3 at home in the league.


VANDY ON VANDY FAN CRIME: Longtime caller Vandy Joe wrote a rebuttal to Billy Derrick's appearance on The Show of Record earlier in the week in yesterday's Blog of Record for Vol Nation. V-Joe may have set a Guinness record for most excuses per words written in sports history. The Dean has always had a soft spot for Joe ... maybe because there are no Vandy talk shows because Vandy fans are an endangered species ... so he has nowhere else to call.


TONY B. GOT SOME MILEAGE ... This week out of the early lines for the 2024 college football season. The only real movement I've seen in five game lines has been Tennessee +5 at Oklahoma has been bet down to +4. I disagree with the idea that early lines and early season lines are fool's gold. The books have the least advantage on you now. It only grows with every week of actual data points of the season, especially in the new age of player movement. I wish we got totals this early.


THE THREE GAMES ... Of the five I see the best values right now are the games with N.C. State (Vols -5.5), at Oklahoma +4 and Alabama -2, because those opponents aren't used to the Heupel Fast Break. Kalen DeBoer has a great resume but he didn't build it with defense and he hasn't played in many environments that will approach that one on October 19. If Nico and his crew are doing what we think they can ... watch out.


Orange Throat'





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Throatagie: This is such a great time of the year ... You've got college baseball winding it down to wind it up. NHL and NBA playoffs. The UFL ... Hoops portal stuff. Tennessee Tennis at home and you Vs Vandy Joe Vs Billy Derrick. It's almost an embarrassment of riches in my sports world.


And Throatagie ... Since you liked the #'s of interest so much this week, let's kick some more here.


With The Postseason Approaching Vegas Loves Vols: Tennessee has the 3rd highest odds to win it all.

A&M 5-1 Arkansas 6-1 Tennessee 8-1 Clemson 12-1 Wake Forest 14-1 Kentucky 20-1 LSU 25-1 Vandy 30-1 Florida 30-1 Georgia 30-1 Alabama 35-1 South Carolina 45-1 Miss State 50-1


Tennessee has the third highest odds to win the whole thing. I don't know about you but I don't trust either of the two teams listed above them.


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Odds To Go Undefeated In College Football 2024: Ohio State +290 or 2.9-1 Ga 3-1 Texas 4-1 Penn St. 4-1 (easy schedule no Michigan..Only Ohio State) Bama 8-1 Missou 8-1 (but Vols would be favored on neutral field) Ole Miss 7-1 A&M 10-1 Vols 10-1 Oklahoma No Line


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Vegas Has Vols In Striking Distance To Make CFP PLayoff: 12 Teams have better odds to make The Inaugural 12 team college football playoff. This doesn't take into account the group of five invitee nor does it include the Big 12 entrant. Therefore Tennessee is the 3rd team out preseason according to Vegas. We'll study this on Monday ... Always great stuff ...


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We'll talk about this further Monday here but as a preview the following SEC teams have better odds than Tennessee to make the playoff

Georgia Bama Ole Miss Missouri Texas LSU

I mean sheesh ...


TLD Logistics Tennessee Baseball Report: Previewing Vandy With Chris Lee Southeastern14.Com: 'Injuries have piled up. They've lost 10 guys from the 28 man roster this weekend. They just don't have the margin of error with the talent level.'


'It feels like not very if you.look on paper. Things hinge on pitching. Holton & Cunningham can really get it going. I think both guys pitch in the majors. If McElvain can go from the pen this would help. I'm doubtful on this. The park plays bigger which could negate Tennessee's power. Vandy pitches it better at home. But they've seen A&M and Georgia on the road. Both of those teams hit it. BBCOR bats were supposed to mirror wood bats. That's not happening. Mis-hit balls are getting out. Exit velos are way up. Vandy in 2017 won a national championship hitting 22 home runs for a season.'


'Vanderbilt got run ruled twice last weekend. They walked 22 guys and hit 9.'


On Tennessee's Bullpen Advantage: 'When you have a guy like Snead 51 innings and a sub 3 era. There isn't a handful of those guys out there. I think Tennessee has a better bullpen than any team this side of A&M or LSU lately. I Tennessee fans saying our pitching stinks but it's all relative.'


On The Power Of The SEC In 2024: 'This is the best I've ever seen the league from top to bottom. The SEC is loaded. The offensive numbers have gotten ridiculous and it's cheapened the game. I wish we could figure out a way to dial it back. Yet the league is loaded.'


Brian Hartman Returns With His Weekly Baseball Projections Tracker:
Brian Hartman
'College Baseball Ranking / Projections ... On3 Projections:

1) TEXAS A&M 2) KENTUCKY 3) Clemson 4) ARKANSAS 5) TENNESSEE ( UC Irvine, Louisville, Army) 6) N Carolina LSU 7) Florida St 8) GEORGIA 9) E Carolina 10) Oregon St 11) Indiana St. ALABAMA 12) Wake Forest (Arizona, UNCWilm, Wright State) 13) Virginia 14) Oklahoma VANDERBILT 15) MISS ST 16) Duke S CAROLINA


SEC teams out: Florida, Auburn, Ole Miss, Missouri

Tennessee Non league opponents in field: Illinois ( Vols swept at LNS) Kansas St (Vols beat at LNS) Bowling Green ( Vols swept at LNS) #14 Oklahoma ( beat Vols in Arlington)


D1 Baseball Projections: 1) KENTUCKY 2) TEXAS A&M 3) TENNESSEE. (UConn, Va Tech, Niagara) 4) Clemson 5) ARKANSAS 6) N Carolina ALABAMA 7) Florida St 8) E Carolina 9) Indiana St 10) Oklahoma 11) Virginia. VANDERBILT 12) MISS ST 13) Duke. FLORIDA 14) GEORGIA (Wake Forest, S Miss, Austin Peay) 15) Cal Santa Barbara 16) S CAROLINA

SEC teams out: LSU, Auburn, Ole Miss, Missouri



Non league opponents in field: Illinois ( Vols swept at LNS) Kansas St (Vols beat at LNS) Bowling Green (Vols swept at LNS) #10 Oklahoma ( beat Vols in Arlington classic)


News & Notes: Are the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers both flowing backwards? Someone has projected Kentucky BASEBALL to be the #1 overall tournament seed. Matt Dixon read this and rejoiced because a #1 overall seed hasn’t won it all since Miami in 1999.


The Vols are #5 and #3. Georgia is 8 overall at On3 but 14 at D1. Six spot difference. I don’t really want to see the Vols have to face them again this side of Omaha, which would be the case in the D1 projection.


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LSU is in at On3. While Florida is out. The Vols series win in Gainesville knocked Florida out of one projected field, like this space speculated last week. D1 still has Florida in and LSU out. Seven SEC teams could end up hosting, which is almost half of top 16. Tennessee will have a say about Vanderbilt getting to host a regional over the weekend, and the Vols will get a say about S Carolina as a potential host next weekend. Stay tuned.


Brian'


Brian ... I LOVE this Friday feature ... What great information and observations from you. Imagine Kentucky who've never hosted a Super Regional going off as the #1 overall seed. Do you think they have a high school tournament scheduled for those weekends?


Fab Five Freddie Numbers The SEC East is 10 games ahead of the SEC WEST coming into this weekend.


Vols 9.88 runs per game tops in country & 3.84 2nd in country.


Tennessee Tennis Hosts FSU Tomorrow At 1 Eastern: Chris Woodruff joined your show of record yesterday and offered the following assessment.


'FSU is very good. Played them two years ago in Knoxville. our #1 player is #1 in America, their #1 is #3. This is going to be some high level Tennis here with two teams fighting it out. We have some film on one of their doubles teams that's still intact. We've scouted and looked for tendencies.'


Finally: Brian Hartman made me LOL with his Vandy Joe imitation yesterday on your TB Show. It's no wonder people love the show so much. That was utterly hilarious. Brian, you're a nut.


Garza Law Tennessee Extra Innings Airs Saturday & Maybe Sunday: We'll start warming it up for the post-season today with our Baseball Postgame. It's time! Let's roll. Spread the word.



Tony



ICYMI from Wednesday:
Some Really Interesting Commentary On The Vegas Lines & Looking Ahead To 2024 Season:

Watson Brown Dismisses Tennessee Being An 18 Point Underdog To Georgia: 'There's no way that's the case game week. I think Tennessee is good. I don't think Georgia will be as good. It will be under 10 by the time the game gets here. There's just no way. Now I will say the portal is making the best better because they get to.get rid of their mistakes. When you made mistakes in my day in recruiting and you let a kid go back in the day you paid the price in that community. Look at Lane Kiffin. He's cutting players and not paying the price at all. He's raised the money. The high school coach was mad at you. These days nobody cares. It's all business. Tennessee certainly has the NIL capabilities to play at the top of the league in this market.'


Sean Sinclair On The Danger Of Growing Your Own Today: 'The other side of that is now when you have a guy that can swim (rather than sink like some players that bust) other teams are going to try to sink him off your roster. That's a real problem with this system. Kids are always going for the best opportunity. Whatever that means.'


Watson Brown Says Tennessee WILL Beat Florida: 'I told y'all two years ago don't worry about the Florida game. I'm saying it again here. Obviously Nico has to stay healthy but when he is healthy the Vols will cover the number (11 points).'


Watson Brown Is Confused By Billy Napier's Approach At Florida: 'I just don't understand what Billy is doing at Florida. Where is the urgency? He acts like his young players are a lot better than anybody thinks. Maybe he's right. We'll see. Look, he's a family friend. I just don't see why they aren't more active in the transfer portal. Look at Ole Miss and programs like that. I just don't understand what he's doing. You used to get 4 or 5 years back in the old days. Not today. It's going to be tough for him.'


Watson Thinks Clemson Is Slipping Under Dabo: 'I don't think 14 points is enough for Clemson in that game. Playing in Atlanta. Good luck with that. I'm not big on Clemson this year. I think they've fallen off. I can't get over their QB (Klubnick). Georgia will be in Clemson's face and his face all day long. That QB isn't big. He's kind of slight. That's going to be a rough day for him.'


Watson On Milroe As A Misfit In DeBoer's Offense: 'I'm anxious to see Bama. Milroe doesn't fit that offense. Bama can't beat Georgia with 24 points. I can't wait to see them play. DeBoer has to change philosophies. Bama's passing game was built off moving pockets. Washington style is built pass first. Both offenses were effective. I just believe in doing what your QB does best. It took them a while to get there last year.'


Watson Brown On Georgia -1 at Texas 'This matchup right here is exactly why we extended the playoffs. Greg Sankey promised Texas & Oklahoma you come into this league and we'll extend the playoffs when you come. I really believe that. I think the SEC is going to get a bunch of playoff teams too as will the Big 10. I love seeing the great teams play the great teams. You hate seeing the old way where there are only one or two teams on your schedule that can beat you. Those days are gone.'


Will Georgia's Schedule Of Duress Help Or Hurt Tennessee's Prospects With Them? 'Georgia playing four legitimate games before Tennessee has to help Tennessee's case. It's called stress. You get beat up. The ball could bounce funny. They're going to have to dig deeper into the playbook too so you can't save your best stuff for the Vols,' Brown said.


Brian Hartman On Tennessee's Measuring Stick Versus Georgia: 'Tennessee's next step as a program is playing a competitive football game with Georgia. I'm not asking too much here but we haven't seen that so far. It's strange but for whatever reason the Vols look rather ordinary when they get on the field with Georgia. They look almost too ordinary.'


Tennessee Basketball Recruiting Update/Analysis: On The Chaz Lanier 52-48 Projection At On3 Crystal Ball: What does that even mean would be my question? 52-48 percent? I'm asking for a friend. Actually I'm asking because this is silly. This is based on a combination of predictions and which fanbase is tweeting and engaging more regarding him. Is this right? I mean no offense to anyone intended here but that's silly. There's only one national recruiting analyst under their employ that's made a prediction and that's Jamie Shaw from On3 who's predicting Tennessee. So, where is the 48 coming from? Is Matt Jones bot tweeting at the guy to drive up the numbers and make this look good for TV? My point is 52-48 as a crystal ball at On3 is a complete bit at this time. It's completely made up. No offense. It's fan fiction.


I will reiterate once again my expectation and that of Tennessee's staff is that at the end of all this Chaz Lanier is going to play next season in Knoxville. Look, I know everybody likes drama. I happen to think it's fun on the radio sometimes. But Tennessee still isn't involved with anybody that plays Lanier's position. I mean there is NO BACK UP PLAN. What I'm saying is that Tennessee IS ALL IN ON HIM. And the reason they're all in on him is that they've been working this one since the middle of the winter. Let's get real here.


Now do I 100 percent know that Lanier will end up here? Of course not. Nothing is done until he enrolls and takes a class in Knoxville in a few weeks. Now, could Kentucky or anybody come in with some outrageous dollar amount that resets the market? I guess anything is possible. But to come out with some 52-48 proclamation like this is some kind of battle in real time is not indicative of what's going on. Just trying to keep it real in real time. As I've written here and said on my show, I'll let you know what it's time to worry on Lanier. And right now I'm not worried ...




ICYMI from Tuesday (4/23/24): He's On Our Radar(ious) 'X' our UT Football Expert and UT Recruiting Expert breaks down Tennessee's latest football commitment ... 'X' LOVES Tennessee's latest addition from Memphis.
'X' Says
'Tennessee picked up its 9th football commitment Monday afternoon when Memphis Sheffield wide receiver Radarious Jackson announced his commitment in front of family and friends.

Jackson is the second wide receiver in the 2025 class and the 4th prospect from the state of Tennessee. Whatever Tennessee’s formula is for prospect evaluation it’s working. Tennessee beat many of its staunchest on field competitors to the draw in identifying Jackson as a prospect and striking up a relationship. Tennessee had a bit of a head start on other colleges in Jackson’s recruitment. You see Jackson and Tennessee quarterback commitment George McIntyre are teammates on one of the best 7 on 7 teams in the south.


As a junior at Sheffield, he had a phenomenal season. As a junior he caught 30 passes for 696 yards and 13 touchdowns and rushed for 782 yards and nine touchdowns. He just isn’t a wide receiver either. As a defensive back he was in 60 plus tackles and had 7 interceptions.


By the end of his junior season, Jackson had amassed some 25 offers. His finalists were Auburn, Oregon, Ole Miss, and Tennessee. Notice all 4 of Jackson’s finalists are up tempo fast paced offenses. Offenses that are reliant on speed to stretch defenses. Jackson’s athleticism is obvious. He is yet another commitment who plays multiple sports. Jackson is a member of Sheffield’s basketball team as well as a member of the school’s track team.


He was the best player on the field in every game tape I watched. He runs by the defense; he changes directions with ease and without slowing down; he sees the field well; and has the ability to make tough catches. The concerns are he needs to get bigger and stronger (which he will … he will be an 18-year-old during his freshman year at Tennessee), and he needs to work on running better routes (which he will).


It really doesn’t matter where the recruiting services have Jackson rated. Outside of current Tennessee quarterback commitment George McIntyre I’m not sure there was a higher priority target on Tennessee’s recruiting board than Radarious Jackson. By the end of the football season, Jackson will push George McIntyre as the top football prospect in the state of Tennessee for 2025.


I can’t remember a recruiting cycle where at the end of April Tennessee had received commitments from the quarterback and wide receiver at the top of their respective recruiting board. With the commitment last week of Sidney Walton and now Radarious Jackson, Tennessee has set the wheels in motion for a productive late spring and summer recruiting run up to fall practice.


If Jackson is able to accumulate comparable offensive numbers during his senior season, he will move himself into consideration as one of the top wide receivers in the country. He may not receive as much fanfare after committing to Tennessee so early in the recruiting cycle.


I will say this in closing, Radarious Jackson is a really good prospect. He is so good Tennessee will need to continue to recruit him all the way to signing day. Jackson will be one of the best players in Tennessee’s class regardless of whether he commits in April or December.


I'll be back next week with a full report ...


'X'




ICYMI from Monday (4/15/24): 'X' Marks The Spot!!!! 'X' Returns With A Spring Football Breakdown
'X' Says
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'X' Orange & White Game Report ...

It certainly was a beautiful spring Saturday in Knoxville. What a setting to celebrate the completion of another spring of practice football for the Tennessee Volunteers. The Orange & White game, fully scripted so as not to divulge any state secrets to the 12 opponents on the 2024 schedule, was largely as anticipated ….. uneventful. The best news is there were no major injuries on Saturday. Most of the players who had been nursing an injury didn’t even dress for the game.


Tennessee showed just enough of Nico on Saturday to sustain fan excitement until the end of July. The head coach sure has more courage than I do. After Nico’s first pass play where the offensive line and DeSean Bishop decided not to block anyone, Nico would have spent the rest of the afternoon standing beside me if that was my dime and dance floor.



Takeaways from Saturday and Spring Practice Generally Nico still has plenty to improve upon. Sure, it’s a spring game I get it… Gaston Moore though looked more comfortable in getting the offense from one play to the next play compared to Nico. I expect him to be better at this in the fall.


The roster is better. The secondary is more athletic, the bodies are bigger and more athletic on both lines of scrimmage, and the wide receiver group, minus Squirrel White and Bru McCoy who both return for fall practice, looked bigger and more explosive.


A couple of non-descript things stood out to me in a spring game. Senior Omari Thomas, by all accounts Tennessee's best interior defensive lineman, chased down a running back 20 yards beyond the line of scrimmage.


Back up offensive lineman Ayden Bussell left the game with a shoulder injury. An injury in a spring game usually signals the end of the afternoon for most players. Bussell returned to action a few plays later. I bet you that caught the attention of both the offensive line coach and the head coach.


Tennessee offensive specialists handled the ball without turning it over. With all the changing personnel parts of a spring game and the quarterbacks didn’t botch a handoff or throw an interception. The running backs and wide receivers secured the ball. Game execution was spot on.


I do not know what to make of the back-up running back situation. Coaches have been singing the praises of both backups all spring. I saw nothing from either Saturday that made me comfortable. What I did see were missed blocking assignments, tentative running, and lack of explosive plays. One of the storylines for the next few weeks is whether Tennessee pursues a running back in the portal.


Josh Heupel is quietly telling his media that Seldon is out until early September. My advice is to add a month to what he is saying publicly and that is when you can reasonably expect Cam Seldon to be healthy enough to return. We know from watching Jabari Small suffer through a lingering shoulder issue that you have to be careful with that injury literally from series to series.


Tennessee has an abundance of riches on the defensive line. You just have the feeling Tennessee might try and redshirt a couple of those interior players when more playing time is available in 2025.


The secondary is an unknown. The “group” is more athletic, but will the defensive coordinator and defensive backs coach allow the players to play through some inevitable mistakes or will they play it safe.


If Keenan Pili is healthy, the defense will be plenty good enough. When healthy he is one of Tennessee's best defenders and one of the best linebackers in the conference. He also brings a calming influence on the younger linebackers. Sophomore linebacker Jeremiah Telander is one of Tennessee’s most improved players this spring He took full advantage of being healthy and hitting it off with the new position coach. He made a strong case for starting beside Pili this fall.


Others Who Stood Out

Gaston Moore looks like a capable backup quarterback. I want Nico to make it through the season healthy. If he happened to miss a series or two, Gaston is capable of running the offense.


Mike Matthews doesn’t look like a freshman wide receiver. The long touchdown catch was nice, but I noticed his blocking on Saturday. He was a willing blocker and didn’t shy away from contact at all. The fact that he is a willing blocker and is explosive to boot almost guarantees him playing time next season.


Sham Umarov. Umarov looks like he is furthest along in terms of development of any of the other young offensive linemen. So much so that Umarov has jumped into the competition for the starting left guard position this fall.


Edwin Spillman and Boo Carter. Both true freshmen with a lot to learn. Both flashed here and there Saturday. Those plays should excite fans for their respective futures at Tennessee.


Portal Transfer Jakobe Thomas. His athleticism is something the secondary has been missing. He showed up a lot Saturday.


Redshirt freshman defensive lineman Nathan Robinson. He has put in work in the offseason program. He looks like a completely different player physically than a year ago. Coach Garner will find a way to get Robinson into the rotation this fall.


Lingering Injury Questions You don’t take a chance with any injured player being counted on in the fall. The following injuries though seem problematic.


Tight end Ethan Davis. Davis is as talented a tight end prospect that has played at Tennessee in recent time. He can’t stay healthy. He was held out of the spring game as a precaution. He was injured in the spring game last year and he missed his first season at Tennessee recovering from shoulder surgery. Davis has missed more time with injury than he has practicing. I really want to see him healthy because he can be a difference maker. The tight end position is so important a position to the offense that keeping Davis healthy is a huge concern.


Right tackle John Campbell. Campbell is a key member of the offensive line. Him being healthy and available is important to the offensive. He hasn’t been healthy frankly since mid-season last season. He missed time leading up to the spring game with injury and he reinjured himself in warmups Saturday and was held out as a precaution.


Cam Seldon. His injury is the worst news of the spring. He is such a key piece to the offense. Josh Heupel is telling his media confidantes that Seldon is out until early September. My advice. Add a month. Therefore, you can reasonably expect Cam Seldon to be healthy enough to return in late September or early October. After watching Jabari Small suffer through a lingering shoulder issue for 3 seasons you hold your breath every time the kid takes contact.



Wrapping Things Up ... It's Portal Time In Tennessee:

The transfer portal opens Monday and I’m holding my breath. I do expect Tennessee players to enter the portal. With the money flying around in the NIL market, Tennessee needs to continue to manage its current roster.

I’m watching the defensive line including the pass rushers. Likely the deepest and best in the SEC. You can’t discount other programs who have depth issues at those positions coming after one or more of the experienced linemen with offers that would be hard to turn down.


And how active will Tennessee be when the portal opens? A running back or depth at linebacker isn’t out of the question. And ... how do they feel about Ethan Davis’s recent spate of injuries? Can you find an experienced tight end who can pick up the pace of this offense in a few months?


Tennessee didn’t solve its left guard position this spring. Sham Umarov had a good enough spring to surpass a couple of guys in the competition who were limited because of injury. Also returning offensive linemen Jackson Lampley, Cooper Mays, Andrej Karic, Larry Johnson, Javontez Spraggins, Masai Reddick, and John Campbell all missed some or all of spring practice. The coaches don’t seem to be worried. I should note though at least half of that group have been nursing one injury or another since coming to campus.


'X'





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Final Four
Posted: Sun, Apr 7th, 12:12 PM
by Alison


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Final Four
Posted: Sun, Apr 7th, 12:12 PM
Friday night’s Iowa-UConn Final Four game had 14.2 million viewers. That’s more than any women’s college basketball game, ever. More than every 2023 NBA Finals game and more than every 2023 World Series game. ESPN has had the rights to NBA games since 2002. But the Final Four game between Iowa and UConn was the networks most-watched basketball game, men’s or women’s, pro or collegiate EVER.... [more]
Final Four
Posted: Sun, Apr 7th, 12:12 PM
Friday night’s Iowa-UConn Final Four game had 14.2 million viewers. That’s more than any women’s college basketball game, ever. More than every 2023 NBA Finals game and more than every 2023 World Series game. ESPN has had the rights to NBA games since 2002. But the Final Four game between Iowa and UConn was the networks most-watched basketball game, men’s or women’s, pro or collegiate EVER.... [more]



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